Study the Stats: Why it's time to take Jalen Hurts seriously
Jim Monos brings his 17 years of NFL experience to this weekly column. He watched every snap of those quarterbacks in prove-it seasons, using his one-of-a-kind rating system. Here's what he found.
Each week, Jim Monos brings his 17 years of NFL scouting experience to “Study the Stats,” an attempt to dig beyond the statistics we see the box score. Monos studies as much film as anyone dissecting pro football… and applies his unique formula to figure out who played well and who did not at the quarterback position.
Taping the Go Long Podcast on Sunday nights after watching RedZone all day is a good reminder that the tape can tell a totally different story or at least explain what is really happening. I want to dedicate this column to answering questions based on what I am seeing on tape. Instead of grading every quarterback this season I will evaluate the quarterbacks who had question marks into this season, the ones who must answer a simple question: Are they or aren’t they the answer? No need for me to write about Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes as top-level QBs.
Let’s dive into Jalen Hurts, Trevor Lawrence and the rest of this cast of Quarterback Survivor to see who will emerge as the next star to put his team on the map.
In studying quarterbacks, I’ll continue to use the same eye-test formula I did last year. Each positive throw or run gets +1 and each negative play gets -1. In extreme cases, a QB may warrant +2 or -2. This total from the game is then divided by the number of pass and rushing attempts for a final “rating.”
Here’s how 11 quarterbacks in prove-it seasons fared for me vs. how ESPN ranked them with their QBR formula: